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Alyaza Birze (March 11)

today's reading is Socialism in the Heartland: The Midwestern Experience, 1900-1925 and i'll have a few things to say and chronicle from this book; however, here's a quick and interesting one that stands out: the incredible amount of hysteria that swept even quite homogeneous portions of the United States during and after World War I.

writing about the situation in Marion, Indiana, Errol Wayne Stevens highlights the unusual amount of worry about socialist revolution in the city—he notes the Chronicle's fear in particular, saying:

The Chronicle noted editorially that the Bolsheviks had been a small minority and had been able to seize power primarily because of the disorganization of Russia’s ruling elite. In order to avoid a similar situation in Marion, the Chronicle suggested that a vigilance committee of patriotic citizens should organize and equip a force of at least five hundred men to stand by in case of a possible insurrection: “We do not wish to pose as alarmists. We do feel, however, that we are living in a critical situation, and that there is a need of immediate action of a broad and comprehensive character to insure us against calamity. Under present conditions indifference and inaction are both cowardly and treasonable. We must get busy, and get busy at once.

what makes this fascinating is the nature of Marion in the first place. economically, Marion's importance had waned substantially by the outbreak of World War I. originally a beneficiary of the Indiana gas boom, the waning of this boom left the city mired in a devastating and localized recession throughout the late 1900s and 1910s. factories abandoned the city in substantial numbers, and the city population dropped by several thousand despite a large-scale annexation in 1902 that added nearly 3,000 residents. in terms of demographics, Marion was never a place strongly dependant on immigrant labor. indeed there was a near total absence of non-white or even foreign-born residents, particularly in comparison to other industrial Midwest cities. Stevens observes that in 1910, the census found "84 percent of the city’s residents had been born in the United States and that only 3 percent were of foreign birth. Slightly less than 8 percent of the population were second-generation Americans." the city was—in short—much closer to ethnically homogeneous than culturally diverse.

in the absence of usual sources of anti-socialist hysteria, Marion's case can probably be attributed to the presence of a localized and successful Socialist party which had been very oppositional to the patriotic line on World War I. beginning in 1900—and particularly after 1913—Marion became of the major centers of the Socialist Party of Indiana. Marion's local of the party took a particularly strongly anti-war line which, in 1914, charged that "our fellow citizens who uphold the capitalist party are guilty of murder in that they stand for the system making wholesale murder inevitable." in 1917 with the United States' entry looming, the local continued hold strongly anti-war positions—it sent a delegate to the Socialist Party of America's emergency national convention with instructions to categorically "vote against American entry into the European conflict."

despite this position, the party had been fairly successful in 1917: it elected two city councilors and, although losing to Republican Elkannah Hulley, 30.5% of the vote for mayor. but it seems this success was the impetus for the Chronicle's turn to redbaiting in 1918 and an ominous sign of developments to come. the following year in 1919, Marion was struck by a lengthy and intense labor dispute which reflected many of the anxieties . workers at the Rutenber Motor Company went on strike in August that year for "collective bargaining, [a] forty-eight-hour week, and an increase in wages averaging about 20 percent"; manufacturers subsequently attempted to crush the unions responsible for this organizing and a protracted period of unrest followed. strikebreakers were brought in and repeatedly assaulted. on one such occasion Mayor Hulley used the opportunity to denounce the strike at Rutenber, saying of the workers that "Everyone of you are I.W.W.’s, anarchists and everyone of you ought to be in the penitentiary. You are undesirable citizens." (ironically, this seems to have galvanized the IWW presence in Marion substantially; they had previously been nonexistent in the region.) later still, Hulley sanctified strikebreakers openly carrying firearms and—on several other occasions—allowed special police from the Illinois Glass Company (where a different strike was taking place) to operate in Marion, where they reportedly shot at least one Rutenber striker.

it is unclear from Stevens' account how the strike at Rutenber ended; however, in October 1919 feelings in the community apparently remained so intense that when a police officer assaulted a woman with a billy club, the community nearly lynched him and later burned him in effigy. the Chronicle charged that the incident was caused by IWW members and other radicals. (the paper later admitted only one person in the entire city had any involvement in the union.) antipathy toward socialism continued after this wave of labor unrest, however—in large part it defined the 1921 municipal elections, where both parties took aim at the growing Socialist vote. Republican Party members charged that socialists were morally degenerate and atheistic, and would separate from this scare business away and leave Marion permanently economically deprived. the Democratic Party, meanwhile, ran a vehemently anti-socialist and anti-communist campaign. their candidate for mayor, J. M. Wallace, decried socialists as treasonous for their position on World War I and argued that the recently-established Soviet Union was causing "starvation, sorrow, and suffering exist there as never before."

the extent to which this redbaiting campaign was effective is debatable, although support for direct impact is minimal; the Socialist for mayor, Harry Oatis, took a modestly improved 31% of the vote even though he came third in the election. the Socialist Party retained two city councilors after the municipal elections of 1921. within months of the elections, however, the party became effectively moribund. the primary causes were economic rebound and general dysfunction in the Socialist Party of Indiana; but, undoubtedly, vehement opposition from the major parties eventually took its toll on the party. the redbaiting and worries of Bolshevism also served as fertile ground for the Ku Klux Klan, which apparently recruited hundreds of members in Marion as the party disappeared from the scene. when, in November 1922, an estimated one-thousand Klan members paraded in Marion, it de facto marked a bookend for socialist political strength in the city.

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Alyaza Birze (January 25)
Where the state in the early twentieth century appeared weak because of its lack of control of the metropolis (to which fascists responded by marching through the cities), the state in the early twenty-first century appears weak because it apparently does not control its borders (the actual massive accretion of border technologies notwithstanding). This is why migration politics, although not a major part of the state’s total activities, is so important for far-right movements which contest the power of the state[...]
—Sam Moore and Alex Roberts, The Rise of Ecofascism: Climate Change and the Far Right

as immigration politics continue to spiral and the Trump administration begins to gear up for "large-scale" immigration raids in major US cities, it seems prudent to begin outlining something i call the "sundown agenda". in short, the sundown agenda is the overarching effort to de facto recriminalize being a visible minority. this effort largely models itself after the sundown town (and an oft-associated, infamous exhortation: 'Nigger, don't let the sun set on your head'), hence my name for it

like many portions of the contemporary right, this agenda takes an amorphous form that is both disorganized and centralized at the same time. the broader belief that certain kinds of people should neither be seen nor heard is centrally accepted across most of the right—in many respects it informs what the right does and why—but how this should be accomplished is scattershot. this is fortunate in many ways (a consensus on this subject can be intensely damaging: see the push against trans people for instance) but unfortunate in others (it is hard to fully grasp the scope of the problem, and in many cases fighting this agenda is fighting only one head).

illustrating the latter point, consider the apparent ICE raids against Diné (Navajo) citizens and the recent Trump administration argument for ending birthright citizenship that seemingly rest upon overturning American citizenship for natives too. it would be understandable to see these as completely unrelated events—but from my perspective, they both belie a fundamental axiom of the right-wing that groups like Native Americans are "apart from" the United States and can only become American through total assimilation. it is this system of beliefs that allows one to argue “The United States’ connection with the children of illegal aliens and temporary visitors is weaker than its connection with members of Indian tribes. If the latter link is insufficient for birthright citizenship, the former certainly is.” without shame; and it is that system which sees unlawful detention of Diné by ICE (forcing them to prove their citizenship and place in this country they were forced to join, rather than forcing ICE to demonstrate they are in some way undocumented immigrants) as acceptable.

state-level contributions to the sundown agenda

the apparent raids in Arizona and arguments by the Trump administration for banning birthright citizenship are obviously big problems; but just as alarming for many people are state-level contributions to this agenda. this post was actually inspired by one: Wyoming, which i have already detailed for its fossil fascists, is likely to pass a bill (HB 116) "invalidat[ing] driver licenses issued to unauthorized immigrants by other states" in the coming days. although dubiously constitutional and apparently ambiguous on legal penalties, what is not unambiguous is the bill making it de facto illegal for undocumented immigrants to drive alone in Wyoming (whether they are residents of the state or merely driving through). per the reporting of WyoFile:

Law enforcement chiefs interviewed by WyoFile said they weren’t entirely certain if undocumented immigrants driving with such licenses would be detained. In many cases, they said, offenders would be issued a ticket then — if someone else could take the wheel — travel on. But if not, they may end up stranded or, if there are other criminal charges, even jailed. “If you don’t have a driver’s license you can’t drive,” said Col. Tim Cameron, who directs the Wyoming Highway Patrol. “They would need an alternative method of transportation or another driver.”

even more concerning are other measures that Wyoming could potentially take up. HB 133, another bill introduced by a Wyoming Freedom Caucus member, would completely ban sanctuary policies (there are none in Wyoming) and defund polities which attempt to pass them. but it would also "charge government officials who don’t cooperate with federal immigration authorities with a felony"—an incredibly punitive and almost certainly unconstitutional measure designed to silence elected officials with sympathies to undocumented immigrants. Wyoming is not the only state considering such a bill either: in Tennessee, where sanctuary policies are already banned, a new sweeping anti-immigration bill threatens to criminalize even voting for a sanctuary policy. under this bill, doing so would "become a Class E Felony and grounds for removal from office."

obviously, the harm of bills which make it illegal to vote the "wrong" way are immense, and they are yet another step toward democratic backsliding whether they pass or not. i will reiterate that they are also almost certainly unconstitutional—it seems inconceivable to me that any court could ever legitimize making it illegal to vote a certain way when you serve on a democratically elected body, at least not without precipitating a disastrous constitutional crisis. but the right is willing to test the legal system on this subject.

there are also the bills intended to stoke fear, and which you might call an unusual form of stochastic terrorism. in Mississippi, an immigrant bounty bill (modeled after a similar one in Missouri) has been making news; although likely unworkable for at least a dozen reasons and unlikely to be taken up, the bill certainly makes it feel like criminalization (even potentially at the hands of a private actor) could happen anywhere.

what you can do about it

all of this is fightable—most of it should be legally inactionable, and will presumably be challenged on that basis. but it's important to get organized and be organized against this reaction; on the legislative, legal, and labor side there should be proactive efforts to ensure that undocumented immigrants are shielded through sanctuary policies, and consistent resistance against any policies that would jeopardize this status. undocumented immigrants should be made aware of their rights in advance (see Arise Chicago's toolkit for immigrant workers and Immigrant Legal Resource Center: Red Cards as just two resources) and given resources to lean on if they are detained (NNIRR's hotlines for example). if you can, you should join a broad organization like DSA or volunteer your skillset to an organization which will have it. in short: there's a lot you can do right now, but you must be the person who chooses to do it.

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Alyaza Birze (January 19)
Today’s [proletarian] reactionaries are increasingly ethno-nationalist and, rather than acknowledge the fires they see with their own eyes, will instead dial up the violence.

Since they are both conservative, the bourgeois capitalist denialist ISA and the proletarian reactionaries ally on the right. For example, when the Koch brothers funded the Tea Party movement after the election of Obama, they took advantage of anti-Black racism to astroturf an apparatus conducive to deregulation. In what Ernesto Laclau called a “chain of equivalences,” deregulation stitched itself to ethno-nationalism.
—Tad DeLay, Future of Denial

i promise i'm not always bad news; unfortunately many of the things i take an interest in will be significantly affected by the change in administration, and there's a lot i want to say about that. one of those things is climate change: already it has become obvious that the second-Trump-term backlash to climate change mitigation is going to be significantly stronger than anything we experienced in his first term.

i don't say this particularly lightly. you may remember my essay "Just How Bad The Antifa Wildfire Panic Got In Rural Oregon in 2020" which recounted some of the collective psychosis that gripped the American right during 2020 (a psychosis which has largely been memoryholed). things have been bad in this space for years now, and it is evident that what Tad DeLay characterizes as the "proletarian reactionary" response to climate change has developed into a fever that will not recede easily. but the highly-visible Oregon roadblocks of 2020 were in many ways just the first great culmination of climate change, widespread anti-government paranoia, and the Obama-era and Trump-era revitalization of the far-right. the militia movement has been aggrieved and preparing for domestic crisis since Waco, and was given second wind by Obama's presidency. Oath Keeper "community preparedness teams" appeared in Ferguson during the 2014-15 civil rights protests there and deployed themselves in Florida, Texas, and Puerto Rico during the disastrous 2018 hurricane season. given the confluence of absolute fucking disasters that occurred in 2020, it is not particularly surprising that 2020 was a landmark year for climate reactionaries.

what might be surprising though is how the stories of the proletarian reactionary militia groups have continued at an alarming pace. it is likely you are familiar with Kyle Rittenhouse (who fashioned himself as something of a militia teenager) and the plot to kidnap Gretchen Whitmer because those are not climate related and are conventionally ideological for militia groups. but you probably are not familiar with the Oath Keepers trying to render disaster aid during tornado outbreaks in 2021; or the Echo Company militia feeding people and attempting to recruit among those displaced from the 2022 Oak Fire; or the efforts by the Oath Keepers and their sympathizers, after January 6th, to reinvent themselves (or at least complicate their image) as a sort of accessory to FEMA and disaster management. this is new behavior, and behavior that has allowed militia groups to become an increasingly normalized feature of disasters. these groups now launder political reaction through the rhetoric of private community service,1 a pivot that is handsomely paying off. some states like Idaho have outright repealed their prohibition on such militia groups. but even places like Nassau County, New York—effectively suburban New York City—are finding this manifestation of reactionary politics quite appealing. in March of last year, Prism reported on Nassau County's Republicans, and their effort to organize the county's own disaster militia.

militia groups are only one half of the backlash, though—and the second is actually the part i'm particularly worried about.

the proletarian reactionary as a surrogate for the bourgeois capitalist

the other half of the backlash consists of proletarian reactionaries in state legislatures acting out the interests of DeLay's "bourgeois capitalists" (as opposed to those capitalists taking initiative themselves). perhaps because it is being led by proletarians and not by fossil fuel executives, this reaction seems uninterested in the usual deregulatory schemes and is instead prepared to settle fossil fuel hegemony by force and state mandate.

Oklahoma: ground zero of fossil fascism

ground zero for this phenomenon is Oklahoma, as helpfully described by Heatmap's Jael Holtzman. although stereotypically associated with coal and gas, the state now produces nearly half of its energy from renewable energy. this green energy revolution has been so inarguably great for Oklahoma that even its terrible Republican governor, Kevin Stitt, frequently flexes the state's renewable energy credibility and thinks the free market should decide its energy mix—an implicitly pro-renewable position cloaked in conservative rhetoric. to this point, Oklahoma has actually been a remarkable success story for renewables and how they can thrive in a very conservative state. under the surface, however, an extremely grim revolution is brewing: one that seeks the ban of all green energy in the state.

to be clear, Oklahoma is not the only place where backlash to renewables is occurring. around 15% of US counties have restrictions or outright bans on such developments, most of which have been passed in the last 15 years. it is effectively impossible to build wind turbines in several states like Tennessee, Kentucky, Vermont, and Connecticut; solar bans have not yet been taken up by an entire state but are a growing problem in the Midwest, Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic areas.

but what distinguishes Oklahoma's experience is the character of the backlash to renewables and the totality of the demand. when you look at Tennesseee and Vermont's functional bans, for example, these rested on concerns like property values and noise pollution—classic NIMBYism, in other words. Tennessee's governor at the time, Bill Haslam, explicitly opposed a total ban on wind projects in the state; certainly Vermont, one of America's most liberal states, has no hang-ups about green energy. in Oklahoma the character of the backlash is explicitly fossil fascist—that is, motivated by reverence for oil and gas and ideologically opposed to any alternative which threatens these. to the extent that NIMBY-like concerns do exist, they are recognized only insofar as they advance this fossil fascism.

Jim Shaw, a newly-elected politician who successfully primaried the chair of the Appropriations and Budget Committee in part by running on a statewide wind moratorium, makes this fossil fascism quite explicit. Shaw believes that a "taxpayer-subsidized 'green energy' agenda" is a "huge land grab is destroying our agriculture and ranching communities, our overall way of life and working to eradicate the oil and gas industry." in an interview with Breitbart, he explicitly argues that green energy would be the death of Oklahoma. there is no hiding behind aesthetics, or noise, or setbacks—and a significant of his contemporaries are clearly in the same headspace. on January 9th, he appeared with numerous other legislators, Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond, and Education Secretary Ryan Walters at a "Stop the Green" rally demanding Governor Stitt pass an "Executive Order to stop the wind turbines, solar, and other “green” energy agendas from destroying Oklahoma!" this desired Executive Order is unlikely happen for reasons already stated—Stitt is effectively pro-renewable—but in many ways it is also a diversion. from my perspective the real point of the rally was to demonstrate how widely fossil fascism has penetrated in Oklahoma, and to scare other legislator into compliance.

the organization behind the rally, the Freedom Brigades, seems to confirm this assumption; in an interview with Holtzman, its founder Charity Linch stated "I don’t believe that [pro-renewable Republicanism is] going to continue in Oklahoma. If [other Republicans] haven’t figured it out yet, they will very soon." indeed the Freedom Brigades have quickly become a vanguard against green energy projects in Oklahoma—and that they have the Attorney General on their side is not trivial. (Drummond, it should be noted, has fought extensively to instate a law that would prevent Oklahoma from investing in companies that boycott or divest from the oil and gas industry; he is also now running for governor in 2026.) this is to say nothing of Freedom Brigades' several elected officials, of which Jim Shaw is just one. Representatives Tim Turner and Neil Hays (both attendees of the organization's January 9th rally) are just as oppositional as Shaw is to green energy, and now they have a body count to show for it. just days ago they killed a wind farm project in their region, apparently with the backing of House Speaker Kyle Hilbert no less. Turner's words at the rally—“It’s time to let the outsiders know, we will protect our quality of life in Oklahoma. Time to get back to oil and gas—drill baby drill!”—seem disturbingly close to a promise for what is to come in parts of America whose economies are heavily reliant on fossil fuel revenue: compliance by force.

Wyoming: the farcical conclusion

and the logical conclusion of this "what is to come" is not something we must idly speculate about either. Wyoming, another state heavily reliant on fossil fuels, once saw its politics moderated by an interesting sort of old-guard frontier libertarianism. its current governor, Mark Gordon, comes from this wing of the party and is comparatively moderate.2 but in the Trump era the state as a whole has simply careened to the right behind an ascendant, far-right Freedom Caucus. their vicious efforts in the 2022 elections saw them gain an ally in Secretary of State Chuck Gray, and in the 2024 elections the Caucus took a majority in the state House of Representatives and scalped numerous leaders of the legislature. that majority is now seeking to completely reshape an already conservative state.

given its significance to the state, the fossil fuel industry is not exempt from that reshaping—and in this area the Wyoming Freedom Caucus can best be described as accelerationist. nowhere is this more evident than with the ‘Make Carbon Dioxide Great Again’ proposal, a just-introduced bill by Freedom Caucus ally Cheri Steinmetz and Freedom Caucus Chairman Emeritus John Bear that earnestly argues "carbon dioxide is not a pollutant and is a beneficial substance" and would make it unlawful to enact any sort of carbon reduction measures in Wyoming. to say this is an expression of fossil fascism and a move to benefit the bourgeois capitalists is obvious. Steinmetz is blatantly laundering fossil fuel corporation talking points when she speaks of carbon mitigation measures bearing "high economic costs and questionable environmental benefits, and clearly negative effects on our people and our industries." she's even doing so when she speaks of people "vilifying this essential gas"—points that come from the George C. Marshall Institute and its successor in the CO2 Coalition, at least one of which has been funded by Exxon Mobil and both of which are allies of the American Petroleum Institute.

but that's to be expected. really it is the penetration of these extreme beliefs which is remarkable, just as in Oklahoma. in ordinary circumstances this bill could be written off as posturing or attention seeking—but, in Wyoming's legislature, its only impediment is whether the Freedom Caucus will take it up or not. in my mind that is a very real question. multiple Freedom Caucus members such as Representatives Christopher Knapp and Scott Heiner—who have argued Wyoming should maximize fossil fuel production and minimize any carbon sequestration—seem to agree with Steinmetz. and when Steinmetz brought the CO2 Coalition to the legislature last year, multiple Senators attended. fossil fascism has many takers in Wyoming.

if there's any good news, it's that Mark Gordon would probably veto this bill if it reached his desk. it would certainly be easy to justify: even constrained to its own internal logic the bill would be a disaster for Wyoming and the independence the Freedom Caucus claims to want. but Gordon will be termed out in 2026,3 and it seems very unlikely that his successor will be comparatively moderate like he is. will the interests of fossil fuel companies in Wyoming be lessened by then? will the Freedom Caucus in Wyoming be lesser in influence by then? the chances of a fossil fascist state government in Wyoming seem alarmingly plausible before the end of the decade. and mind you, i have not touched on the other canards of fossil fascism. racism and immigration fearmongering are just one constant—the hardliners in Wyoming want to bring the boot down on "illegals" and the indigenous. Oklahoma Attorney General Gentner Drummond is already promising to "DEPORT illegal immigrants" as Governor and has called on Donald Trump to immediately begin rounding up anyone with a deportation order. a genuinely fossil fascist government, even with the constrained powers of a U.S. state, would be capable of enacting a great deal of localized harm—particularly if it began to deputize and normalize the militia groups who have become increasingly common in disaster areas.

a more optimistic conclusion

fortunately, the nationwide context remains much better. it's hard to make of what a second Trump administration will do for militia groups, but much of America's existing climate progress and green infrastructure will be hard to dismantle. even in the worst case scenario right now, the reaction is also limited in geographical extent. most states are still making state-level progress on climate change because it's good business and creates good, high-paying jobs. almost $100 billion in grants from the Inflation Reduction Act are effectively future-proofed (and Republicans are divided on the tax credits it passed, making it much harder to repeal those). believe it or not, federal initiatives like the Climate Corps are also surprisingly insulated from the next few years because they didn’t employ people directly (an issue-turned-benefit, you could say). markets, of course, still quite like renewable energy over most fossil fuels and are not likely to change their minds because wind turbines make certain Republicans mad. finally, America is just one country even if it is a very large contributor to climate change. it would take monumental backsliding here to offset everyone else's progress—and, at least right now, it is an open question whether American backsliding will be more than a selective and regionalized phenomenon. is the creep of fossil fascism bad? yes, and it is very worrying—if not for everyone, at least for the people likely to be affected by it. but i'm ultimately not a doomer here and, at least right now, you shouldn't be either.

footnotes

1 of course, these groups are still quite explicit in terms of who they seek to marginalize and who they identify as the enemy. you need look no further than the things they get up to on the side—unlawfully operated militia training facilities in Vermont, voter intimidation in Arizona, confrontations with civil rights protesters, and efforts to police the US-Mexico border extrajudicially among others.

2 to the point where he has faced censured for being too moderate; in general, Gordon has a bad relationship with much of his party and a very bad relationship with the Freedom Caucus of his state.

3 with the caveat that he may challenge Wyoming's term limits in court.

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Alyaza Birze (January 1)

welcome to 2025. i came down with a rather nasty sinus infection approximately a month ago, which derailed what had previously been plans to talk about a large number of subjects. instead, to start the year you'll get to hear me talk about being painfully ill in a way that precluded serious work on anything and which generally ruins your month. don't worry, we'll eventually get back to some of the stuff i intended to talk about last month on this blog.

don't get sick: or, how it feels to be sick for literally an entire month

i don't generally get sick in the way most people seem to—my pandemic sickness of "choice" was getting the flu randomly. i have never knowingly had COVID, and the closest thing to sickness i usually experience is seasonal allergies. unfortunately, i also seem to develop sinus infections rather easily—and after dodging serious illness for the duration of the year, being stricken by an infection finally happened to me at the beginning of this month.

if you've never had a sinus infection: i do not recommend getting one. after a day of stuffy nose and sleeping weirdly, i woke up one morning at approximately 4am to feelings of being unable to breathe; i had approximately ten seconds between this and standing over our bathroom sink, painfully coughing up what is best described as a mixture of brown-red bile with the consistency of non-fresh caramel. if this sounds deeply unpleasant: yes, it is. it does not get better from here.

the subsequent six or seven days were spent in what i can only call a stupor; approximately 23 hours of these days were spent in various states of lucidity and (hard to catch) sleep. to not choke in my sleep or drown in a frankly unimaginable amount of mucus, i was obliged to sit upright at basically all times (not so bad) and sleep upright (horrible). this completely ruined my sleep schedule, which i am still recovering from. eating was non-pleasurable, but more importantly something i barely did at all—i think on at least two of the days in question i just drank water and juice and the bulk of my calories were from cough drops. at one point i coughed in a way that hurt so badly i thought i might have broken a rib or damaged a lung. this did not happen, luckily, but it's not ideal to feel that way.

the weeks to follow have been better: a number of hot showers and copious coughing has cleared up the worst of it, and for the past while i've been coughing up white stuff. unfortunately, i have been unable to cough up the remainder. as a result i have what feels in essence like a throat infection (even though it's not one), and protracted bouts of coughing can still be quite painful and lead to a sort of vomiting. this is not ideal, and i would also not recommend this.

what i'm reading (1/50)

i started this year off by finishing the fascinating book Beyond the Wall: East Germany, 1949-1990 (Katja Hoyer); if you're looking for a good account of East Germany's existence and what life was like for many people there this is a book to pick up. the relationship between the country and the Soviet Union is a particularly curious facet: i came away from this one feeling like much of the "blame" for the country's demise can be given to the Soviets. despite Walter Ulbricht and Erich Honecker taking strongly after the Soviet line, the Soviets were frequently distant or outright cold to the East German state. even from the beginning, the Soviets seem to have been dubiously interested in a partitioned Germany and were eager to push for reunification; when this became impossible, the Soviets consistently held East Germany to the standards of a disposable client state. regardless of its own desires or needs, the expectation was that East Germany would consistently and unquestioningly follow Soviet policy. thus, even the reform-minded Gorbachev was apparently oppositional to Honecker's efforts to establish a less antagonistic relationship with West Germany—at least without the Soviets being in charge of it.

the distance in relations was perhaps exemplified most heavily by economics between the two countries; Hoyer notes a particular moment in 1981 where relations essentially broke down after the Soviet Union refused to guarantee oil supplies to East Germany, which had by then become extremely dependent on the Soviet supply:

[Erich] Honecker found [Leonid] Brezhnev’s inability to engage with his concerns extremely frustrating. Brezhnev mechanically recited his brief: the Soviet Union needed to look after its own economic affairs for the foreseeable future and the GDR would no longer be able to rely on Soviet credit. Worse still, he could not guarantee that the supply of oil would remain stable. This was a huge blow to Honecker. His country had banked on the annual delivery of 19 million tonnes of oil contractually agreed with the Soviet Union.

[...]Energy consumption in the GDR had also begun to lean on imports from Soviet Russia. In 1960, coal still accounted for 97 per cent of domestic energy use; by 1980, oil had taken over 17.3 per cent and gas 9.1 per cent.3 As oil is five times as effective as brown coal in terms of energy production, the economy was shifting towards the deliveries from the Soviet Union while investment in domestic brown coal had begun to slump. The oil crises of the 1970s had made this an increasingly expensive undertaking – by 1980, the GDR was paying the equivalent of $15 a barrel of crude oil compared to $2–$3 in 19724 – and as a result local brown coal once again had to be sourced in higher quantities. Nonetheless, crude oil from the Soviet Union could still be turned into hard cash in the GDR’s refineries. Their oil-based products were sold to many non-socialist countries on the world market, including West Germany. So successful was this that, among the non-producing nations, East Germany had become one of the biggest exporters of fossil fuels. By the time Honecker received the worrying news from Brezhnev under the palm trees of Crimea, oil-based products accounted for 28 per cent of its exports to non-socialist states.

despite these difficulties (and the 1981 situation bringing the state perilously close to immediate economic collapse, which was averted only through prompt new trade relations with Bavaria, of all places), East Germany was able to consistently deliver a high standard of living. Hoyer notes that by the end of the 1970s:

Rents were so heavily subsidized that GDR citizens did not have to worry about affordability once they had found a suitable flat. From 1971, the rates paid were means-tested, allowing working class families with children privileged access. A four-person household in West Germany spent around 21 per cent of their net income on rental costs while a similar household in the East only needed 4.4 per cent. While this focus on newly built housing meant that older buildings were left to decay in town centres up and down the country, which made for very unsightly impressions on foreign observers, the prefab blocks came with central heating, insulation, bathrooms and plenty of space. Honecker was also able to oversee rapid progress in supplying the population with consumer goods. By 1975, more than a quarter of households had a car, compared to only 15 per cent in 1970, and the figure would rise to 38 per cent by the end of the decade. By 1980, almost every household had a fridge, a TV and a washing machine.

East Germany also had a remarkable amount of gender parity; from 1981 onwards, more than 90% of women were employed and the country had the highest rate of female employment in the world. half of all university students were women, a remarkable accomplishment given the pre-Cold War state of higher education. for the most part—and although their representation lagged within the Socialist Unity Party itself relative to the rest of East German society—women were financially autonomous and politically independent, and their concerns were well represented in politics. women were even integrating into the military by the late 1980s—something that was constitutionally illegal in West Germany (and led to virtually all of these women becoming unemployed after reunification). in many respects it is remarkable the state was so stable given its inability to be self-sufficient and its troubled relationship with the Soviets. i'll definitely have more to say about this in subsequent blog posts, especially since i have other books about East Germany to eventually read.

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Alyaza Birze (November 9)

where have you been?

busy with the election. obviously, things did not go well. i now have more free time, so blogs should be more routine. there's much to talk about.

my thoughts

my honest opinion is this is basically a worst-case scenario. you can’t even say Harris ran a bad campaign–the Trump ground game was nonexistent and he has had maybe the worst week in recent history. Elon Musk’s stupid ass made a voting software that doesn’t work and has shit data; he probably trafficked canvassers to work on it. but it’s like it didn’t matter. calling Puerto Ricans subhuman garbage and being identified as a fascist by the very people who worked with him clearly didn’t matter either. the results are just a consistent meltdown with no obvious analogue in recent election history. if you bet on NJ being within about 5 or IL within about 10 you would be diagnosed criminally insane. pretty much nothing implied this would happen.

i don’t know what is to be done about this, but: you will probably not ever see a liberal Supreme Court in your life. write it off, the best case is now 6-3 with a hard-right swing vote. you will probably not see a female president any time soon (if in your lifetime). write that off. the Senate is gone for Democrats for the next decade–with the number of Republican seats in the Senate there is basically no chance of Democratic control again before 2028. and while the jury is still out, don’t count on Democrats pulling it out in the House either–Trump is probably 50/50 to get a trifecta right now.

the Democratic Party? i’m sure you can infer this but it’s about to take a hard shift to the right. “woke” politics are almost certainly going to take the fall here because Kamala Harris is a liberal-coded Black woman from California and comes off as scary to the electorate; Elon Musk’s $200m in anti-trans fearmongering ads also “worked.” Dems are probably going to run a white man in 2028–in the best case scenario expect Pete Buttigieg, or Josh Shapiro, or some other default character with positions you’re going to fucking hate more than you hate Harris running to the center on things. the Democratic Party is in the wilderness again, but worse this time, because somehow Donald Trump appears to have been perceived as the moderate candidate of the two.

on that note, the media–the fourth estate? they’re also cooked. charitably they’re a helpful institution that has been tasked with impossibly trying to clean a poisoned information well. less charitably they are a literally useless institution who has done the poisoning, with the result that Kamala Harris could ever be seen as more extremist than Donald Trump. i can’t tell you what the future holds with certainty but, given the anger of liberals at WaPo/LAT for abdicating their endorsements this seems like a death blow to what’s left of media credibility. the coming years will be unkind. but if you think this election was fucking nightmarish, it’s probably not going to get better.

with RFK potentially in the driver’s seat for health-related measures, you also might as well forget the COVID-19 pandemic. the damage done by this guy having his hands anywhere near public health will be generational. COVID is the least of it.

we are so fucked on climate change–Trump is a climate arsonist at the best of times. you are literally counting on market forces to save us here, because the government sure as fuck won’t.

the prognosis for labor unions and antitrust is real bad. the NLRB will be gutted, and probably it and/or the National Labor Relations Act will be found unconstitutional and put our labor laws literally back in the 1930s. the FTC and CFPB are the same way–don’t expect them to do anything useful anymore, expect them primarily to be used to hurt people. people literally waited until Biden took power to file union elections and push for reforms that fall under the FTC’s purview because of how shit things were under Trump. expect unionization rates to decline further, and current union momentum to be severely stunted.

and–this was the issue with the least delta between candidates, but–i’m now absolutely confident Palestine is fucked, and we are now locked into watching literally millions of Palestinians get actively killed by a Trump-supported Israel and Gaza annexed and settled. (as a reminder, Trump already signed off on annexing the Golan Heights illegally.)

all in all: it is going to be bad. it is going to be really bad. it is not doomer to say that, and sugarcoating it is unhelpful. it is kind of gutting to say, but: if you live in a red state and have any ability whatsoever to leave (even if that would require couch surfing and lacking a stable place to live), i would exercise that opportunity at this point. federalism might blunt the worst excesses of the federal government working in tandem with the 20+ Hitlerite state governments.

finally, and depressingly, the left is not in a serious position to do anything here. in lot of ways, what’s happened tonight is as devastating for left-wing politics as liberal politics–many of the demographics swinging to the right are ones that groups like DSA have seen success with (in unions, tenant organizing, and elections). but that all looks reverted now, badly. and non-electoral power like large-scale union organizing is going to be much harder without a sympathetic NLRB (under Biden unionizations are up massively and so are wins–it’s like double the number of unionizations and 30% more wins or thereabouts).

in short: the barbarism is here, and there’s almost nothing we can do about it besides hope Trump is actually too stupid and incompetent to do anything in the next 4 years. if he does literally anything, it will be worse. we will backslide. people will die. harm reduction by vote is over. we’re now doing harm triage for the next four years. it’s going to be bleak fucking work, and that’s the best i can say of it.

how did the left do in 2024's elections?

despite the above dourness, it was actually a pretty good cycle for the Democratic Socialists of America, the organization i am a member of and the primary organization i consider serious within the contemporary American left. by my count, 75 DSA members won their elections on November 5th, 21 lost them, and 15 races are still to be determined--this is a win rate of 67.5%, and in terms of net wins it's a gain of 18.

all of this is remarkable compared to the win rate of other left-wing third parties/groups, which is an abysmal 17% across 218 races i've tracked so far (in other words: 37 wins, and 181 losses). of those, 20 are Green Party wins, 13 of them are Vermont Progressive Party wins (mostly electoral fusion, where they also ran on the Democratic ballot line), 3 are Richmond Progressive Alliance wins (all on the Democratic Party line), and one American Communist Party (MAGA Communist) win. the MAGA Communist win was a write-in campaign by Christopher Helali for Orange County, Vermont high bailiff (which is basically a cop position but also does nothing).

that is, for the record, no wins for the California National Party; the Green Mountain Peace and Justice Party; the Oregon Progressive Party; the South Carolina Workers Party; Socialist Party USA; the Socialist Workers Party; people running only on the Working Families Party line (almost all of their candidates run Democratic first, Working Families second); the Working Class Party; or the Workers Party of Massachusetts.

and as near as i can tell this is, despite their wins, the worst ever presidential cycle for the Greens, who have won an abysmal 15% or so of their races across 129 candidates. their previous worst was in 2016, when just 16.25% of their candidates won--but that year they ran over 300. to have their win rate this low despite running one-third the number of candidates (and only one-half the number from 2020, when they ran 239) is embarrassing at best and catastrophic at worst.

in my mind this is yet another affirmation that third-partyism without a base (and/or electoral reform) is a total dead end. if you want my advice: join DSA. but if you won't do that at least join an actual organization (the Working Families Party, the Socialist Rifle Association, your local Food Not Bombs, really anything that isn't just vibes) instead of letting yourself and your activism be steered by the moment. the next four years are probably going to be quite bad, and being in an organization will provide you the best opportunities to do meaningful things.

alyaza: a gryphon in a nonbinary pride roundel (Default)

brief introduction

two days ago i wrote an off-hand blog update about my problems with solarpunk. i wrote this in a matter of a few hours, but i think my premises are pretty straightforward and defensible. however: these are not my only problems with solarpunk—in fact, i elided many of the more complicated issues that undercut solarpunk for me. i will now elaborate in some detail on these issues.

what does it mean to be solarpunk?

let's start from the ground floor here: i don't know what it means to be solarpunk. i don't think most solarpunks know either. or, i suppose i should say they might have an answer to the question "what does it mean to be solarpunk?", but i doubt that i would find it satisfactory.

whenever i engage in solarpunk spaces, i find it a consistent struggle to actually see myself—an impoverished Black nonbinary person—reflected there. this is true of the aesthetic, genre, and movement, and there are some obvious sources of this disillusion. as i previously observed, solarpunk's growth as an aesthetic and a genre is intimately tied to Tumblr; but that platform is comprised of "mostly white, mostly sheltered middle-school misfits and fandom teenagers who have since grown up." so solarpunk has inherited its demographics, and thus people i cannot relate to whatsoever. this would make it rather hard to be a solarpunk.

but it's not just an interpersonal feeling of disillusion that i have here—that would be something i could just work through. what i find is a fundamental disagreement with solarpunks invoking diversity and decolonialism. in solarpunk texts these are often considered integral to defining the term and what it stands for at all. solarpunks, then, implicitly frame themselves as advocates of diversity and their aesthetic, genre, and movement as one with an essentially decolonial character. i simply don't believe this is accurate. i consider it false from first principles: solarpunk is, again, very white, not particularly diverse, and hardly free of colonial prejudices; i also consider it false in actual practice: as we'll go over at length, solarpunk seems much the opposite—something that reifies a white, Western, and colonial line of thinking and leaves little room for anything else.

solarpunk as an extractive analogy

in function, i would argue solarpunk actually has something of a low-stakes extractivist relationship with diversity and decolonialism: it takes many of its most interesting building styles, technologies, cultural practices, and more from non-Western cultures. but then it fails to actually process them, their purpose, their place, and their context. if anything it decontextualizes these things—it fails to give them, and the peoples who made them, proper deference or due. thus they are cherrypicked without much deeper consideration and then laundered back into culture under the label "solarpunk," a Western curation of how the world ought to be run and what is acceptable or not.

jugaad, swadeshi, and refugee

take for example the assertion that "solarpunk draws on [...] Ghandi’s [sic] ideal of swadeshi and subsequent Salt March, and countless other traditions of innovative dissent." already a strong prescription is made here by posing Gandhi, poster child of nonviolent resistance and someone whose form of resistance is acceptable to nearly everyone, as the ideal. intentionally or not, forcible or violent resistance is foreclosed—a position hard to stomach given the nature of the climate crisis and the salient critiques of nonviolent tactics by people such as Peter Gelderloos. and what necessitates invoking Gandhi's "ideal of swadeshi" by Western solarpunks? even most other educated Westerners probably have no sense of what this movement was, or what its occurrence means practically for themselves today. certainly i don't. the swadeshi movement was strongly informed by the particular circumstances of colonial-era India, and particularly resistance to the first partition of Bengal. it seems quite out of place in any foundational solarpunk document.

where it's possible to extract meaning from an invocation of this sort, we still find that solarpunk fails to grapple with what that invocation actually implies. continuing the example, the swadeshi demand was not a blank slate—it comes bearing its own context and prescriptions. Gandhi's unrealized "ideal of swadeshi" was intimately tied to a notion of absolute, decentralized self-governance (Swaraj) by the Indian traditional village. the best analogy to this in the West is perhaps Hutterite or Amish communities, which have long utilized community-based economics and self-governance as Gandhi might have envisioned—and which also tend to be strongly hierarchical and oppressive because of their social beliefs. needless to say the invocation loses its luster when thought of this way.

meanwhile when we strip it to its bare essence, the swadeshi demand for "communal economies removed from ruling ideology, and serving as the basis of a new, moral system" becomes one with plenty of Western analogues that better serve its purpose in a solarpunk context. from Peter Kropotkin to Murray Bookchin, there is a long history of Western theory on this subject. non-white Western theorists have also taken up the subject and built on it throughout history. Jessica Gordon Nembhard's Collective Courage: A History of African American Cooperative Economic Thought and Practice documents the long history of Black cooperative structures in America, many of which were built on similar principles to the swadeshi central demand; more contemporarily, Huey P. Newton's intercommunalism served as the basis of the Black Panther Party's "survival" programs.

we find this trouble too with invoking "Jugaad-style innovation from the developing world"—another turn of phrase from the same foundational solarpunk work. solarpunk's consideration of jugaad is purely an aesthetic one since the basic principles of jugaad are almost universal (Wikipedia gives them as "innovative fixes or a simple workarounds, solutions that bend the rules, or resources that can be used in such a way" - in effect, the Indian subcontinent just happens to have a broad word for this). but jugaad's ramshackle "aesthetic" is explicitly a byproduct of systemic failings—of underdevelopment and inequal access to resources—that solarpunk presumably seeks to address in the first place. in other words: "jugaad-style innovation" only happens because of a capitalist economy in which many are necessarily deprived. i feel comfortable asserting a better world would not have jugaad aesthetics. so what is the purpose of its inclusion versus, say, appropriate technology? why does solarpunk not foundationally rest on a publication like Low Tech Magazine?

i think that there is a consistent tendency, in solarpunk, to gaze toward the developing world as a gigantic involuntary laboratory for solarpunk ideas. (non-white people generally—particularly indigenous peoples in the West—are also subjects of this gaze.) this is weird. but it would probably be fine if that gaze were processed, engaged with critically and in a nuanced fashion, and its impact on solarpunk acknowledged. for the most part, though, this is not the case. much of the current basis on which solarpunk is built strikes me as—unintentionally or otherwise—culturally appropriative and orientalist. to adapt a turn of phrase from Edward Said, solarpunk bleaches away "troublesome interpositions" of context. the invocation of the swadeshi movement and aestheticization of jugaad are just two examples of it doing so. but there's no shortage of erasure of indigenous peoples; overlooking genuine extractivism needed for solar panels and wind turbines; Eurocentrism; or fetishization of Western norms, values, and morals in solarpunk spaces either. and sometimes solarpunks explicitly make prescriptions that cut to the heart of this problem: one early treatise on the politics of solarpunk proposes earnestly that "If we are going to create solarpunk cities/societies from scratch, refugee camps may very well be the foundation we build on." perhaps if one were to actually live in a refugee camp, they might not be so quick to prescribe this state of living as acceptable for others to live in. but most Westerners—and especially most white Westerners—will never have such an experience. and most solarpunks are white Westerners. so it goes.

diversity and decolonialism for who?

solarpunk at the end of the world

in an article on Storming the Ivory Tower entitled "You've Got To Throw Your Zombies On The Gears!" there are two observations that seem worth examining. the first of these is actually a rather simple statement, which is:

Solarpunk[—]in the projected context of resurgent fossil plagues, mass refugee status for the entire equatorial region, sunken cities, famine, and, perhaps, extinction[—]seems woefully unprepared, delusional.

indeed, i think this observation begs the question for the prevailing, depolicitized solarpunk2 that cares more about aesthetic than action: how solarpunk can you be when your world is ending? even achieving 1.5°C—now virtually impossible without either geoengineering or inventing the deus ex machina of carbon capture—will be bleak for many. on our current trajectory (closer to 2.5-3.5°C), much of that Global South will become unsuitable for decent human living, or perhaps habitation at all. Gaia Vince suggests there would be "[a] wide equatorial belt of high humidity [that] will cause intolerable heat stress across most of tropical Asia, Africa, Australia and the Americas, rendering vast areas uninhabitable for much of the year." Paul Behrens speculates that "Increasingly, we [will] begin to dread the onset of summer, anticipating what the season will bring: how many wildfires, heatwaves, hurricanes, etc., and how large they will be. We will adapt by bolstering infrastructure… but the changes will outpace us. Higher temperatures will render people incapable of working; they are already increasing suicide rates." David Wallace-Wells fatalistically notes "Already, as many as 1 billion are at risk for heat stress worldwide, and a third of the world’s population is subject to deadly heat waves at least twenty days each year; by 2100, that third will grow to half, even if we manage to pull up short of two degrees. If we don’t, the number could climb to three-quarters." and these are just some of the effects to come.

foundational solarpunk writings propose "infrastructure as a form of resistance" and assert ingenuity and local resilience as core values of solarpunk. but even in the Global North our built infrastructure assumes a world colder than the one we live in today—it literally is not equipped for the current amount of climate change, much less further heating. what happens when we actually reach 1.5°C or 2.5°C? absent radical politics, what is the solarpunk prescription to our current situation, in which climate isotherms shift nearly every year and whole ecosystems are forced to follow? Tad DeLay notes in Future of Denial that "A given temperature line, an isotherm, moves poleward at a rate of sixty kilometers per decade. Species dependent upon specific bands of temperatures will move at a similar speed if they are to survive." humans too will be a part of that great migration—hundreds of millions are expected to become climate refugees in the decades to come.

if in the Global North "infrastructure as a form of resistance" is problematic, in the Global South (where infrastructure is poor to nonexistent in the first place) it totally collapses. so too do hopes of ingenuity and resilience that rely on, among other assumptions, the premise that outside activities will remain non-lethal. but this is already being tested at an alarming rate by current wet-bulb temperatures (which become lethal at lower-than-first-thought thresholds) and current dry but protracted heat. the worst of these will both be experienced by the Global South—that is, if rising sea levels, flooding, famine, disease, and other worries don't get there first.

it is here that some solarpunks will probably exercise an escape clause i've avoided to this point: solarpunk is utopian. it's not meant to politically grapple with the here and now, at least in the ways i'm talking about; rather, it exists to be a sort of collective speculative fiction. this is why it is depoliticized. but i find this problematic as an out: it cedes that solarpunk can't really be a movement, and many solarpunks clearly disagree with that notion. beyond the aforementioned "infrastructure as a form of resistance" quote, one of the landmark early works outlining solarpunk invokes "local free association and global networks" as a model of political organization, and asserts "solarpunk can create connected pockets of vibrancy and resistance amidst a larger world of decline and oppression." clearly there is a desire among solarpunks for some sort of solarpunk movement. but if we are to nullify the out and say solarpunk should be a movement, then what good would its current depoliticized form be? without a radical change in our economic, political, and social systems solarpunk's utopian vision will be for a privileged few, if any.

we know this because the underlying arithmetic of climate change is simple, even if its outcomes are complex. we know the future in some places is uninhabitable, and these future uninhabitable places are disproportionately in the Global South. no amount of invoking "local free association and global networks" who build "infrastructure as a form of resistance" and try to be locally resilient will overcome this. you cannot resist wet-bulb temperatures above a certain threshold, nor build a community on an island that is beneath the waves. both will happen in the near future to people living today—the end of some worlds is now inevitable. in this respect depoliticized solarpunk again takes something of an appropriative and extractive form: Westerners are likely to reap the diversity of the world and the new-found benefits of applying technologies once confined to the Global South, while the Global South is depopulated by the climatological arson of the Global North.

and far from any sort of decolonial arrangement, i find it alarmingly likely the "best" outcome for a depoliticized solarpunk movement would be neocolonial: a world in which the developing world becomes completely reliant on the developed world to continue existing at all. Kwame Nkrumah's vision of countries whose "economic system and thus its political policy" are directed by outside actors would in this case become extremely literal—countries might remain intact only through an outside actor ensuring said country is habitable, with habitation technologies only the outside actor can manufacture. certainly this is not inconceivable of countries like the Democratic Republic of the Congo, where there exist considerable natural resource deposits and a profit to be made on continued resource exploitation. (but what of other countries where few such profits are forthcoming?)

the rage and pain problem

this provides a useful turn to the second point i find substantial "You've Got To Throw Your Zombies On The Gears!", which is:

Solarpunk as it stands feels a lot like "green technology"--a series of tweaks that make for good branding and style but don't rock the boat too much. Where is Solarpunk's militant side? Where is the rage and pain? Where is the accusatory question: "Who killed the world?"

as we have just recounted: parts of the world will end—in a meaningful sense—in the lifetime of most people reading this. there are real people and real corporations who are actively killing the Earth right now, and who causally have the blood of dozens of species, thousands of ecosystems, and millions of people on their hands. Eunice Foote discovered the mechanism for climate change in 1856 and the arithmetic of future warming was deduced by Svante Arrhenius as early as the 1890s. the American Petroleum Institute warned in 1965 that "[...]by the year 2000 the heat balance will be so modified as possibly to cause marked changes in the climate beyond local or even national efforts." Exxon research in 1979 found that "the present trend of fossil fuel consumption will cause dramatic environmental effects before the year 2050." they knew. everyone responsible for the climate crisis knew what would happen. yet in its depoliticized state, solarpunk has more to prescribe about aesthetics than its very reason for existing: the greatest crime one person has ever committed to another.

i'm not saying that vengeance against those who have brought us here is necessary—it is not, and killing oil executives would not be useful praxis even if i think you could justify it morally. but where is the rage and pain in solarpunk—and why are hope and optimism treated by solarpunks as mutually exclusive of these? even non-killing forms of physical praxis against entities responsible for the climate crisis—destruction of natural gas and oil infrastructure, sabotage of cars and trucks, monkeywrenching and tree-spiking, or permanent blockading like the Unistʼotʼen Camp—are ones solarpunks seem loathe to acknowledge. far more frequent in my experience are guerrilla gardening, community gardening, little free pantries or libraries, Food Not Bombs tabling, and the like. i don't mean to speak ill of this variety of praxis or anything, but its unique valorization is another place where the notion of "Gandhi as ideal" i mentioned earlier rears its head for the worse. solarpunk has essentially tethered itself to a Gandhi-like path of pacifism and nonviolent resistance (including nonviolence against property)—but, for their value in the toolkit of politics, in what sense are either of these punk or countercultural? they're arguably the dominant mode of political resistance today.

and even supposing my assertion was not true, it's still hard to be more punk than literally facing prosecution for anti-corporate direct action. many people engaging in physical praxis experience this. it was barely 20 years ago that the United States government enacted a "Green Scare" in an effort to crack down specifically on practitioners of sabotage and monkeywrenching. people in the Earth First! and Animal Liberation Front movements have already seen very real prison time for mere property damage against polluting industries and tree-spiking in forests intended for clear-cutting. and the possibility of prison, or worse, has not ceased to be true for environmentalists in the time since the Scare. last year police brutally executed Tortuguita, an environmental activist involved in the Stop Cop City and Defend the Atlanta Forest movement. 23 other Stop Cop City activists face domestic terrorism charges for their alleged involvement in the movement's blockades and direct actions, and another 60+ face racketeering or money laundering charges because they supposedly supported the movement materially. the pattern of repression makes it clear what those in political power fear from activists, and right now it's direct action.

perhaps not coincidentally, there is striking difference in the tactics often used by colonized or oppressed peoples and the tactics valorized by solarpunks. beyond Stop Cop City recent examples are easy to find. Stop Line 3 land defenders "put up barricades and dug trenches across roads" to halt the pipeline; it was reported they "slashed tires, cut hoses, [put] rocks and dirt in engines, forced entry into offices and destroyed electrical wiring in equipment." and in Wetʼsuwetʼen territory protesters have for years seized equipment, dug trenches and built blockades, disabled Coastal GasLink infrastructure, and continually blockaded roads and the Coastal GasLink pipeline. there were solidarity blockades of rail lines by Mi'gmaq and Mohawk First Nations throughout 2020, slowed only by COVID-19. in one instance in 2022, 20 masked attackers armed with axes caused significant damage to a Coastal GasLink pipeline work camp by "seizing large company machines and using them to destroy the site."

history likewise gives many examples of self-defense and violent resistance from the colonized and oppressed. the Wounded Knee occupation of 1973—one of the pinnacles of the American Indian Movement and its efforts to mainstream the colonial failings of the United States government—was certainly not nonviolent. it literally involved the seizure of a reservation town, and during the 71-day occupation three people were killed. the Black Panthers—both before and after their turn toward intercommunalism—made a point of openly embracing self-defense and defensive violence against oppression; in several cases (such as that of Bobby James Hutton) they forewent even this principle and shot first. and even the Civil Rights Movement had a degree of heterogeneity with respect to nonviolence: Akinyele Omowale Umoja's book We Will Shoot Back: Armed Resistance in the Mississippi Freedom Movement observes the continual creation of Black self-defense and paramilitary forces in the Jim Crow South. these were ubiquitous enough that even the non-violent SNCC (the Student Nonviolent Coordinating Committee) and CORE (Congress of Racial Equality) were sometimes influenced by them. CORE's Louisiana chapter explicitly adopted armed self-defense and organization as a principle in 1963; and both CORE and SNCC had many members who supported the Revolutionary Action Movement (RAM) and its contemporaries. this despite RAM advocating for "armed struggle as the primary means by which Black liberation would come about" and its desire "to build a Black liberation army to wage guerilla warfare in the United States".

all this to say: i find the near total absence of physical praxis and violence from solarpunk to be bizarre—and once again reflective of solarpunk's depoliticization and mostly white and Western demographics. many of the movements and moments i would consider punk have explicitly used one or both of those things—particularly the movements and moments of non-white peoples, who have often needed a component of violence to enact any sort of change at all. if i were to summarize my position by way of books, i would assert that Andreas Malm's How to Blow Up a Pipeline or Aric McBay's Full Spectrum Resistance ought to have equal or greater a place in solarpunk than Food Not Bombs' Hungry for Peace. that they don't is a statement of priorities. and that's not a dunk on Hungry for Peace (which is a very good manual that i recommend)—it's an objection to the bounds of acceptable activism that seem to exist form many solarpunks. but i suppose it would be rather easy to be a pacifist—to take refuge in nonviolent protest—when you're not colonized or oppressed, and when your world will not end in the lifetime that you read this.

a better world is possible (but not through solarpunk)

i will reiterate my belief that if you're a "solarpunk" for political reasons you should read Bookchin and Öcalan, and learn from the Zapatistas and Kurds. social ecology is, to me, what solarpunk ought to be (but won't)—and under its wings are at least two schools of thought. you might adhere to a classical Bookchinite communalism/libertarian municipalism, or take after Öcalan and his democratic democratic confederalism. i think both are defensible, and both Bookchin and Öcalan are some of the most forward-thinking theorists of our time. you would be doing yourself and those around you a favor by trying to make their prescriptions reality.

of course you might charge that social ecology has many of these same problems i've talked about. in some respects this is a fair observation. Murray Bookchin—although an antifascist and antiracist Jew who spent much of his life opposing sources of oppression and dominion—obviously had his own blind spots. his opposition to racism, colonization, and settler colonialism was primarily expressed via polemics against others and not affirmatively throughout his work (to which it was also left secondary); his works, likewise, strongly center Europe in no small part because of his sectarian objections to the New Left and their centering of the Global South. most social ecologists that i am aware of are also white.

but Bookchin was far more unambiguously anti-racist, anti-colonization, anti-settler colonial, and appreciative of non-European traditions and the need to accommodate them and learn from them than he is usually given credit for. social ecologists, too, are aware of his (and social ecology's) deficiencies and have written at great length about them. take Blair Taylor's Social Ecology, Racism, Colonialism, and Identity: Assessing the Work of Murray Bookchin, an extensive piece in the social ecologist magazine Harbinger which summarizes Bookchin's visions and his drawbacks in this sphere. and social ecology is an actual movement doing actual things, not an aesthetic and genre trying to become a movement. even if on the whole social ecology might be demographically white, the most developed social ecologist projects are generally not. Cooperation Jackson is one such example in the United States—and one of its major figures, Kali Akuno, is intimately involved with the Institute for Social Ecology. and Öcalan's democratic confederalism, as noted previously, is essentially a wing of Bookchin's social ecology, libertarian municipalism, and communalism. the democratic confederalist experiment of the Kurdish people, in fact, is likely the largest ongoing nonstatist experiment in the world. it's also likely one of the most ecologically conscious in the world, and actively seeks to remedy many of the ecological legacies of consequences colonialism and imperialism in the region.

obviously, there are not solarpunk analogues to Rojava. there aren't even really analogues to Cooperation Jackson in the solarpunk space that i know of (although probably not for a lack of trying). i don't think this is intrinsically a failing of solarpunk—it's hard do these things. but it does mean that solarpunk's whiteness (and its dubious ability to actually be diverse and decolonial) is not even offset by what its adherents are doing in practice. it remains essentially an online phenomenon, and a heavily white and depoliticized one at that. this is not confidence inducing. even though i might be one of the few visibly non-white social ecologists, i can look to the inspirational work taking place in Jackson, Mississippi and know there is a place for Black social ecology. i can hear about Black facilitators putting the Symbiosis movement's efforts to build a confederal organization in North America on the right track. i can read Lêgerîn and the inspirational stories of peoples around the world who find hope in the Kurdish project, and hope one day to build it in their own communities and cultures. i can't do something like that with solarpunk, and i doubt i ever will be able to.

if solarpunk is to become a movement at all—or a movement that is actually diverse and decolonial—it will probably have to shed much of its current form; what i write about here will have to be overcome; and, fundamentally, it will have to politicize itself and accept it cannot be for everyone. i do not expect any of this to happen. i do have optimism that a better world is possible, and i hope it comes about one day (through socialist politics)—but i don't expect solarpunk to play any serious part in making that better world. and after reading this, i hope you understand why, and the problems that make me think this way.

notes

1 for many, i would imagine they also afford variations on the same basic notion of escapism from a complex, degenerating world into something simpler and more harmonious.

2 if you're wondering how a movement that so asserts and emphasizes politics could still be depoliticized as i claim here: words are cheap. it is easy to assert anti-capitalism, diversity, decolonialism, etcetera—actually doing these things is another story, and as you may be able to tell i am not sold solarpunk really does any of these things. certainly not with the consistency to justify labeling the aesthetic, genre, or movement that way.

alyaza: a gryphon in a nonbinary pride roundel (Default)

Alyaza Birze (October 14)

since about 2017, i've been loosely in the orbit of solarpunk. for the unaware, solarpunk is variously an aesthetic (perhaps thought of as the antithesis of cyberpunk), a genre (primarily of speculative fiction) and a movement (in a broad sense seeking to make real the aesthetic and bring into being what is prescribed by the genre). taken at its most charitable, you might say for instance that "Solarpunk is a movement in speculative fiction, art, fashion, and activism that seeks to answer and embody the question “what does a sustainable civilization look like, and how can we get there?”" i think that's pretty interesting; i think it's also very important. we're in a climate crisis and an ecological disaster of our own making—our future will be sustainability or catastrophe. a "solarpunk" future might be what we need, especially if you subscribe to a vision of the future that involves degrowth and a reduction or redistribution of technological availability.

the trouble, i find, is that solarpunk the aesthetic and genre almost completely define solarpunk the movement—for the worse. with extremely scattered exceptions: there is no real "solarpunk" and likewise no real solarpunk "movement". unless you overfit what solarpunk is (which we'll get to) or define it by vague platitudes like "ingenuity, generativity, independence, and community" (we'll also get to this) it is far more of a vibe than a praxis. and this leads to interpretations that totally defeat what i presume should be the point of solarpunk.

the Chobani ad

take, for instance, the Chobani solarpunk ad—perhaps the single most defining work of solarpunk to exist so far. from a media critique perspective? it is genuinely a very good ad—it is hopeful, it is beautifully animated, and it presents a world you would want to live in that is unlike our current ecologically devastated and climatologically harmed world:




but: is also an ad. it's an ad for Chobani, one of the largest yogurt companies in the world. it exists to sell products and induce good feelings for a brand. do you think Chobani particularly cares about solarpunk or even global sustainability generally? and do you think they would stand by these things if the aesthetic became more real and began to impact their bottom line? of course not. i'm sure that Hamdi Ulukaya thinks he does right by the world through his modest philanthropy (informed by his transient, Kurdish upbringing in a very unkind-to-Kurds Turkey), but at the end of the day he is now a billionaire whose company makes in excess of one billion dollars in sales every year. there is no ethical way for this to happen. his preferential hiring of (and defense of) refugees at Chobani is, i'm sure, very much appreciated by those refugees and comparatively humanitarian in a world generally content to treat them as subhuman—but among other things it's also a great way to launder good PR out of extracting the surplus value of a particularly desperate set of workers. and color me skeptical Ulukaya and Chobani as a company would accept, say, worker ownership of the company—or even anything more radical than an aesthetically kinder, gentler capitalism.

for all of the assertions from solarpunk manifestos that solarpunk is "about rebellion, counterculture, post-capitalism, decolonialism and enthusiasm" and essays about how it "imagines an end to the global capitalist system that has resulted in the environmental destruction seen today"—does it? the Chobani ad and its influence seems like a definitive refutation of solarpunk as obviously countercultural or anticapitalist even limited to solarpunk aesthetic and genre. the VICE article from which i steal this second quote notes that "many Solarpunks saw the Chobani ad as fairly innocuous, given that the company sells a health food made with natural ingredients." but what is innocuous about a corporation appropriating an aesthetic, particularly one so supposedly joined at the hip of radical politics and the overthrow of capitalism? is it not obvious greenwashing for a "health food" corporation to steep itself in the visuals of a world it would have no place in? Chobani—or even a world with advertising as we understand it today—is not what i imagine from solarpunk. Hamdi Ulukaya and his billion dollars are not things i believe a solarpunk world should have. the most damning question in my view here is: why did solarpunks eventually reappropriate the ad—attempt to file its branding off, and reclaim its visuals—if it was innocuous? doesn't it seem like an issue that corporations can make better solarpunk propaganda than solarpunks themselves?

these questions and their answers have very real implications for solarpunk the movement, too. if the aesthetic and genre can be so coopted by Chobani—at best a minor note in the symphony of corporations that make up the world's hegemonic, capitalist economy—how might BP (innovator of the "carbon footprint calculator") weaponize it? how might Microsoft, Google, or Nestle, or any company whose existence is unavoidably tied to ecological harm and exploitation? a radical movement whose cultural essence could be—already is—so easily subsumed by capital strikes me as not much of a movement at all, and certainly not an anti-capitalist one.

the influence of Tumblr

but even granting that i overstate the possibility of/degree of cultural recuperation1 taking place here, many proponents of solarpunk are woefully underequipped to build a serious political movement. this is in no small part because solarpunk grew up on—and is in many respect a product of—the website Tumblr. in my view almost every political, organizational, social, and intersectional issue in solarpunk the movement follows from being so strongly based there.

in blunt terms: Tumblr has always been dogshit for politics, for political education, and for endowing people with a good understanding of the world they live in. most of the bad politics i had at 13—an obnoxious obsession with "egalitarianism" over "equality" and a general lack of questioning authority and social structures—were inherited through Tumblr and its raging wars over social justice ca. 2012-2014. i consider this a comparatively good outcome—some of the other people in my former Tumblr vicinity became truly obnoxious scolds, or queer-exclusionary radical feminists, or genuine far-right reactionaries from Tumblr politics. the audience Tumblr historically cultivated—mostly white, mostly sheltered middle-school misfits and fandom teenagers who have since grown up—is simply not one you should trust with unfettered political discussion. solarpunk aesthetic and genre, unfortunately, inherited both these demographics and the byproducts of the great social justice wars.

one result of this Tumblr-heavy origin is that there's a remarkable level of fandom-brain or pop-culture-brain that can be found in solarpunk, and it undercuts how countercultural solarpunk actually is. Tumblr users understandably find much value in cultural analogues—but in this context they are often farcical. the Sunbeam City wiki, for example, is quite generous in its application of "solarpunk" and solarpunk-adjacent." i'm not saying that you can't find inspiration in WALL-E, Sonic CD, or Treasure Planet, but it strikes me as amusing to assert these as solarpunk works of art, doubly so while emphasizing post-capitalist and anti-capitalist politics. Welcome to Night Vale's inclusion meanwhile is just goofy in a classic Tumblr way. and even the more justified inclusions like Ursula K. Le Guin and Hayao Miyazaki are a bit weird. i would not call The Left Hand of Darkness "solarpunk" in any meaningful sense given that it was primarily written to challenge gender roles. and frankly i have no idea what Howl's Moving Castle—a film Miyazaki did to express his distaste for the Iraq War—is doing here unless we're making solarpunk mean "anything that has an agreeable, left-of-center political message".

then again, solarpunk manifestos will frequently assert by fiat that the aesthetic, genre, and especially the movement is "speculative", without bounds, and all-inclusive of "races, religions, sexes, [and] those with disabilities."

this actually brings us to another result of solarpunk's Tumblr-heaviness, and a place where the lack of political education really causes problems: in the rush to declare everyone included, there prevails a genuine tyranny of structurelessness in solarpunk the movement. from first principles everything falters. an anticivilizational anarchist finds as much home under the incredibly broad premises of solarpunk as Chobani and Hamdi Ulukaya. and there is simply no way to build a movement between these two things, or out of such drastic differences in what solarpunk actually is.

controversial as they otherwise tend to be, Jo Freeman's words in "Tyranny of Structurelessness" that

Unstructured groups may be very effective in getting [people] to talk about their lives; they aren't very good for getting things done. [...] The more unstructured a movement it, the less control it has over the directions in which it develops and the political actions in which it engages. This does not mean that its ideas do not spread. Given a certain amount of interest by the media and the appropriateness of social conditions, the ideas will still be diffused widely. But diffusion of ideas does not mean they are implemented; it only means they are talked about.

seem quite true as applied here. in the case of solarpunk everyone brings their own understanding to the table, but nothing exists to synthesize those understandings into something collectively workable. a lack of structure—and a lack of values beyond the most basic platitudes (everyone is included, the aforementioned "ingenuity, generativity, independence, and community", etc.)—means countless solarpunks who respond positively to Chobani, and call WALL-E and Welcome to Night Vale solarpunk(-adjacent) works. that lack of structure, in kind, is a consequence of solarpunk's Tumblr-heavy origin and its beginning as an aesthetic and genre—neither of which have owners. compounding matters is Tumblr's community structure, which is allergic to centralization of any kind. and despite the raging political battles—especially those that existed concurrently with the formulation of solarpunk—most of Tumblr's users have little to no experience with any form of organizing that would transfer to creating a centralized movement.

all of this adds up to something that is simply unable to become a movement—to become politically real. instead of there being solarpunk parties, pressure groups, cooperatives, or even small affinity groups, the solarpunk movement is almost exclusively Tumblr blogs, podcasts, and manifestos for an audience of dozens. instead of building off the legacies of people like Murray Bookchin—someone who arguably created a roadmap for solarpunks to adopt themselves—solarpunks seem to be very divided on whether they adhere to any theoretical doctrine at all. and instead of building a solarpunk future, people seem to mostly just fantasize about it and hope someone else does the work. but if there's anyone doing that work, i don't know about it.

Conclusion

i suppose my feelings would be summarized best by a statement: you can't build a cohesive political movement out of aesthetic and genre. really this feeling goes for everything that is punk, and doubly-so for solarpunk which doesn't have the benefit of 50 years of struggle and violence over what its fundamental values are; what it means; what adhering to it is like; who it's for; and how to live it. even today being a punk (with no qualifiers or specificity) doesn't intrinsically imply anything other than being visibly countercultural (and increasingly it doesn't even mean that. recuperation has come for many of the visible markers of being punk.) there are conservative punks. there are Nazi punks. there aren't many of them, but they still exist and people still have to fight them over what punk is.

so solarpunk runs into trouble immediately. it cannot really substantiate what it wants to be, even in ideal circumstances—and solarpunk has not been developed in ideal circumstances. that's not to say it doesn't have good people or good ideas, but if you're a "solarpunk" for political reasons and don't already have strong priors i think you're wasting your time. my sincere advice would be to read Bookchin and Öcalan, and learn from the Zapatistas and Kurds. become a social ecologist, or a communalist/libertarian municipalist, or a democratic confederalist. the Institute for Social Ecology does cool stuff and so does Rojava and its institutions (see Internationalist Commune, Cooperation in Mesopotamia, and Lêgerîn for just a few of these). and if you like the aesthetic and genre, it's fine to do that. just don't expect them to be vehicles of revolutionary politics or anything.

notes

1 "the process by which politically radical ideas and images are twisted, co-opted, absorbed, defused, incorporated, annexed or commodified within media culture and bourgeois society, and thus become interpreted through a neutralized, innocuous or more socially conventional perspective" -- it's a very useful $10 word for your travels.

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i read this post from liberal pundit Noah Smith the other day—How will you save small midwestern towns without mass immigration?; i find it interesting now that i've finished Future of Denial. here are some miscellaneous thoughts on the two.

for the most part, a combination of social and economic liberalism seems to actually get people reasonably close to what i'd consider a correct take on immigration. but, as with many political differences that distinguish liberalism from leftism it's the remainder that presents a gigantic issue. this article is useful for illustrating some of that.

it's not all good

you might say the political distinction is best illustrated by the framing of the article in the first place: that revitalizing and maintaining the economic prospects of a desiccating region through immigrant labor is more-or-less always a good thing (for both the immigrant and to a lesser degree the place they're immigrating to). take for instance the glowing verbiage here:

If you’re a poor immigrant from a low-income country like Honduras, or Somalia, or Haiti, or Laos, or even the poorer parts of Mexico, the chance to live in a first-world country like America and work in a relatively clean, relatively safe factory for $14 an hour is the chance of a lifetime. You’ve really made it, if you can do that. So when a small-town factory owner who needs labor starts hiring workers from an immigrant group, they quickly tell all their friends and family, and the factory fills up with immigrant workers.

is this sentiment true in many cases? i'm sure, especially if your frame of reference is Somalia or Haiti or any other number of deeply fucked up countries in the world. it isn't for nothing that over a million people per year immigrate to the United States—in terms of political stability, wealth, opportunity, and cultural and economic hegemony this country has quite a lot to offer virtually any immigrant. but living a better, safer life obviously does not make you immune to exploitation (even in a liberal framework; certainly in a leftist one). the treatment of immigrant labor is often quite appalling in the United States (especially undocumented labor, which de facto allows for slave-like conditions) and deeply exploitative or unsafe relative to non-immigrant labor. and—while this can't inherently be solved by wage increases, benefits, and unionization—is it not an obviously troubling dynamic that vital industries like meatpacking and fruit production are heavily reliant on a flow of immigration to function?

mass immigration, freedom of movement, carceral policy

there's a section in Noah Smith's article which is as follows:

Opinion about immigration in America depends very strongly on the type of immigrants being considered. For example, people really love high-skilled immigration. But at the same time, people really don’t like illegal immigration. But in between, there’s a whole category of immigration that doesn’t quite fit into either of those buckets: mass low-skilled legal immigration. This is when a large number of people come to an American town who aren’t entrepreneurs or engineers or doctors, but who came through perfectly legal channels.

and in the conclusion, he notes:

[...]if you’re upset about “floods” of low-skilled immigrants getting “dumped” on small towns in the American heartland, you should ask yourself: How else do you propose to revive those declining regions? Would you starve them of the only resource that they could possibly use to revitalize themselves?

i think these make for good jumping off points to exploring far more interesting aspects of mass immigration that deserve consideration and aren't just dumb right-wing canards or fearmongering. for example: immigration is for most intents and purposes a finite resource under the immigration law of most countries. there are a finite number of people, and the subset with the ability and desire to move elsewhere are even more finite. most immigration processes are also exceedingly laborious; and some are virtually impossible, especially for the "low-skill immigrant" category Smith identifies.

needless to say: i think that's bad! if we're serious about facilitating mass immigration and freedom of movement then i think it obviously follows in the short term that we must demilitarize existing borders; reform immigration systems to be much more permissive of who is allowed in and how quickly; and create analogues to the Schengen Area around the world. i'm sure Smith agrees with most of that, and that it'd make everything much easier for those considered "low-skill immigrants". we could revitalize a lot of economically deprived areas that way.

but i suspect where i'd lose him is full abolition of borders—i am opposed to them in principle and practice. in this specific context, that's because if we want to make the finite nature of immigration as unimpactful as possible, that will require minimal restrictions on global freedom of movement. borders are obviously and by far the largest impediment to this. but there are other reasons borders suck and shouldn't exist, and some of these are perhaps even ones that you've considered in passing before.

borders are necessarily carceral, even when in "kind" forms like the Schengen Area; they must define an in-group and an out-group, a "legal" and an "illegal", a "right" and a "wrong" way to move about. the construct of "illegal immigration" is in large part a product of borders (and the states which make them tangible). borders serve to define the in-group and the out-group, and they make it possible to describe someone as "illegal" through the application of a state's law. as Catherine Dauvergne puts it: “Illegal migration is a product of migration law. Without legal prohibition, there is no illegality.”

a byproduct of this is that a state's power to police its borders can extend far beyond its actual borders. Tad Delay and Harsha Walia combine to note, for instance, that:

Borders do not keep people out. What borders do is confer and revoke status. We tax goods at the border. Humans turn “illegal” at a border. [...] Concentration camps and border patrol raids draw attention, but power acts on migrants or refugees long before they reach a host nation. In her marvelously documented book Border and Rule, the immigrant rights activist Harsha Walia defined border externalization as webs of “interdiction, offshore detention, safe third country agreements, and outsourcing of border control to third countries.”

many of the people impacted worst by this—the ones who resort to being trafficked, or who brave journeys of thousands of miles over land just to attempt to declare asylum—are, of course, in the "low-skill immigrant" category. reforming the immigration system will only change so much for these people, especially as they become more frequent due to climate change, political instability, and worsening economic prospects in their home countries.

neocolonialism

of course there's an additional, interesting matter of complication: at least currently, the dynamics of immigration in the world seem quite neocolonial. the financial power—or prospective financial power—of developing nations is, in a sense, extracted through emigration. facilitated by the lack of opportunity in such countries, developing nations lose their highly-educated talent to other countries like the United States (and often these emigrants do not return). a brain drain follows, from which such countries often struggle to recover. economic prospects are worsened; political instability is made more likely; the country is perhaps obliged to take on foreign specialists (who may have their own agendas) to replace lost domestic talent, or perhaps forced to be subservient to outside financial interests to make up for this.

the root of this issue is the state these developing countries were left in by the colonial process. this is almost universal, actually. even comparatively well off developing countries like Nigeria—poised to be a major economy in the future due to its population growth and oil wealth—struggle with the historical plunder of colonialism1 and the lack of colonial statebuilding. the Congos of the world have even less to look forward to in this respect. emigration is a very understandable impulse from countries like this; but simultaneously, and especially if it becomes easy even to the non-skilled worker, virtually guarantees Nkrumah's words become reality for these countries: "the State which is subject to it is, in theory, independent and has all the outward trappings of international sovereignty. In reality its economic system and thus its political policy is directed from outside." even the benefits of such emigration (remittances, for example) are easy to see as liabilities in the long term.

overall, this is an unfortunate dynamic that there don't seem to be easy answers for—in the short term, even good and humane immigration policy on the part of developed nations seems likely to make the dynamic worse.

1 and ongoing economic neocolonialism too! that oil wealth has many strings attached by foreign corporations—check out how many joint-companies there are in the Nigerian petroleum industry.

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[...]if we want to have more parties, we have to understand that it’s the institutions that give us our party system. We need electoral reforms that make it possible for third parties to compete without being spoilers.
Breaking the Two-Party Doom Loop: The Case for Multiparty Democracy in America, Lee Drutman

what i just quoted to you probably seems really fucking obvious. it does to me: the American political system is fundamentally broken and minoritarian, and electoral reform will be necessary in order for there to ever be meaningful choices in most of our elections. i am currently a partisan Democrat by vote and will probably vote for Kamala Harris in November1—but i would quite like if this was not the case given that i am a socialist. this party is a tent i am in because of our bad institutions, not because i want to actually be here.

luckily, this year Colorado gets to vote on Proposition 131 (or Initiative 310) - a top-four ranked-choice voting initiative. i have many disagreements with this sort of electoral reform (and i think it's, in electoral reform terms, a fairly meager reform), and the guy pushing it is some annoying center-right "moderate" who Doesn't Agree With Either of the Parties—but i will be voting for it. a step forward is a step forward, and this is obviously an improvement on the existing system. more importantly: top-four has strong potential for left-wing third parties, especially if coupled with liberal ballot access laws. i have argued previously that Alaska is now the most compelling state to attempt to build a socialist third party in because of its electoral system, and Colorado (which already has/had a number of Democratic-caucusing socialists in its legislature) could become a very compelling state for third parties too with this system. that would be pretty cool to me, personally.

unfortunately, the Green Party of Colorado does not seem to agree with this assessment or even the basic possibility of third parties being advantaged by such a system.

in their judgement, it is primarily bad to do electoral reform like this because it is not their preferred electoral reform. they argue that we should instead be "using RCV to elect our state and federal representatives by proportional representation from multi-seat legislative districts." and yes, that is agreeable—i support a single-transferrable vote system (which, if anyone's wondering, is what "multi-winner RCV" is.). but i have no idea how that actually conflicts with passing Proposition 131, or why the Green Party thinks "we should use an even better system" is a compelling argument for voting against something that would improve the system marginally.

the assertions that changing to this system would "make primary elections more expensive — increasing the role of big money in our elections and further corrupting our democracy" are plainly goofy. "big money" is already entrenched in our elections—there is basically no way to make this "worse". and how does this not already happen in FPTP? if anything it's worse in an FPTP system because "big money" can win a plurality instead of needing a majority—often the biggest spender in a clown-car FPTP race is the one who wins. AIPAC (the "American Israel Public Affairs Committee" - a big pro-Israel lobbying and spending group) in particular has made mincemeat of federal-level open primaries this year, and that's because they can throw millions of dollars into races of that sort and skate to victory with 30% or 40% of the vote. at least in ranked-choice, groups like this would be obliged to win over supporters of other candidates and not merely buy their way to victory. (candidates could also meaningfully strategize against this by engaging in ranking agreements.)

and i just frankly don't know what to say about the notion that a top-four primary is comparably "anti-democratic" to FPTP, as the Greens insinuate. i would agree if the number of slots for advancing to the general election was two, as in California and Washington (in the latter, Democrats combined for ~56% of the vote in the Land Commissioner race this year, but nearly got locked out because it was split between 5 candidates). but if, say, three or four Republicans advance in a top-four primary, that's probably because people actually want three or four Republicans. a lot of races in Alaska this year (and likewise in 2022) don't even have four candidates running, so there is no real risk of one party being "unfairly" locked out of the general election if they put up even a token candidate. many of those four-candidate races are only four candidate races in the first place because a third party candidate filed. and lastly: Alaska has demonstrated that voter preferences are largely identical between the primary and the general election in a system like this. in blunt terms, a candidate that fails to make the top-four is neither likely to win nor influence the outcome—it's probably fine if they're not on a general election ballot.2

in short: i don't agree at all with the Greens, and i think this is an almost-textbook example of them shooting themselves in the foot. but maybe i shouldn't be surprised: this is a party which has barely run any candidates since 2018 and seems moribund outside of reviving itself every four years to get the Green presidential nominee on the ballot. and unfortunately goofy goober decisionmaking like this is seemingly emblematic of third parties generally in this country. until they aren't (or unless their judgement is correctly overriden by voters and they get over themselves), i suspect i will begrudgingly remain a partisan Democrat by vote. (medium term party surrogate model my beloved)

what i'm reading (42/40)

i have unfortunately made zero progress on Kochland, but i hope to begin that again tomorrow. i have been reading a few news articles in preparation for what will likely be the first Cohost Union News post tomorrow, though. no spoilers!

converted essay of the day

today's essay is Just How Bad The Antifa Wildfire Panic Got In Rural Oregon in 2020, a post i wrote in May of 2023. this is one where i've preserved the imagery by Devin Eskew and other photojournalists because it's something that i think needs visual accompanyment. the story is in part that people in rural Oregon were so fearful of the enemy within—this faceless, amorphous idea of "antifa" far divorced from anything the left uses the term to mean—that they took to roadblocks and menacing journalists and passersby. the fear was pervasive and all-encompassing; it did not discriminate on class or occupational grounds. randoms who just wanted to save their houses were as in on it as the deputies of the police department. the hysteria was so severe that it necessitated pushback from law enforcement agencies, journalists, and the government itself. it was the worst a crisis situation has to offer and—not to alarm anyone—maybe it's one sign of a future to come in the Western US.

notes

1 it's really only Cornel West who i am otherwise considering and--regrettably--even Cornel has been up to some real corny shit this year, so i'm not actually very enthralled with his candidacy. the PSL candidates are write-in this year, so that seems pointless (in addition to propping up a party i have some real issues with personally and strategically). and the less said about Jill Stein the better—she really makes me wish that Murray Bookchin had gotten his wish to make the Greens an "anti-party" party.

2 as an extreme example: the original fourth-place Republican for Alaska's at-large House of Representatives district this year got 652 votes. the Democrat replacing him (because said Republican dropped out) is literally in a federal prison outside of Alaska and got 467 votes.

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